14:10 UTC SEPTEMBER 08 2026

DISCUSSION: ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, A SURFACE TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE PATTERN MAINTAINED GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT, WITH ONLY PERIODS OF BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PATCHES OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA, WHILE DEEPER CONVECTION REMAINS MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. RADAR IMAGERY AROUND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOWED SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY.

BASED ON LATEST MODEL ANALYSIS, MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE JUST EAST OF THE ISLANDS WILL MOVE WESTWARD, INCREASING THE CHANCE OF CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE WAVE AS WEAK RIDGING BRIEFLY REBUILDS; HOWEVER, ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 44W WILL APPROACH THE REGION THEREAFTER. EASTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN, LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN EASTERLY SWELLS REACHING TO AROUND 6 TO 8 FEET BY TOMORROW. ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR SOME ISLANDS.

THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS