AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:18 UTC MARCH 13 2026

 

DISCUSSION: A RIDGE CONTINUED TO DOMINATE OVER THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING, HOWEVER A LINE OF CONFLUENCING AND INCREASE IN MOISTURE BROUGHT BRIEF SHOWERS ACROSS SOME ISLANDS. CLOUDS SEEN ON SATELLITE WERE MOSTLY LAYER TYPE WHILE ECHOES ON RADAR IMAGERY WERE SPOTTY AND SPARSE AT TIMES. MIMIC-TPW AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DRY SLOT MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS AVALIBLE MOISTURE COULD MOVE OVER THE LEEWARDS TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW COULD INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. 

 

FORECASTER

PATRICE EDWARDS