AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

16:03 UTC JULY 28 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   NOTWITSTANDING A TROPICAL WAVE JUST WEST OF THE ISLAND CHAIN, GENERALLY SETTLED WEATHER PREVAILED ACROSS THE ISLANDS APART FROM A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, A MASS OF CLOUDS CAN BE SEEN APPROACHING ON THE CONVERGENT SIDE OF THE WAVE. THIS IS FORECAST TO BRING SOME SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, MID TO UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, THOUGH NOT HIGHLY FAVORABLE, ARE ORIENTED IN SUCH A WAY THAT THEY WILL NOT SUPPRESS SHOWER ACTIVITY. ADDITIONALLY, A PLUME OF SAHARAN DUST TRAILING THE WAVE WILL ALSO BEGIN AFFECTING THE REGION

WITH REGARDS TO SEA CONDITIONS, AN INCREASE IN THE WIND SPEED FROM TOMORROW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ELEVATED SEAS THEREFORE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL GO INTO EFFECT FROM TOMORROW FOR THE OPEN WATERS.

THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS