AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

14:57 UTC AUGUST 27 2026

 
DISCUSSION: THIS MORNING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, A RIDGE PATTERN AND RELATIVELY LIMITED MOISTURE CONTINUE TO SUPPORT GENERALLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY. THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING GREATER INSTABILITY FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, WHILE THE LEEWARDS REMAIN ON THE DRIER NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE.

BASED ON LATEST MODEL ANALYSIS, THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN; HOWEVER, LIMITED MOISTURE AND STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD RESTRICT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACROSS THE LEEWARDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. MAINLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ARE THEREFORE EXPECTED, WITH ONLY A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE. ATTENTION WILL ALSO REMAIN ON INVEST AL96 OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC, WHICH COULD BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ON FRIDAY. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE.

THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 
FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS