04:16 UTC APRIL 10 2026

DISCUSSION:  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WAS THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING. CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY REFLECTS GENERALLY QUIET CONDITIONS, WITH MINIMAL SHOWER ACTIVITY DETECTED ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE THIS, METAR REPORTS FROM ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BVI HAVE CONSISTENTLY INDICATED NEARBY SHOWERS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS, SUGGESTING THAT SHALLOW PATCHES OF MOISTURE CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS A SLIGHTLY LARGER AREA OF CLOUDINESS JUST EAST OF THE ISLANDS, ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE LINKED TO TROUGHING AT THE LOWER-LEVELS.

LOOKING AHEAD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, MOISTURE LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE A BIT AND THIS, ALONG WITH THE MODERATE BREEZE, WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS DURING THE PERIOD. THEREAFTER, A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED. THE BVI TOO WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THEIR VICINITY. MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MODERATE DURING THIS PERIOD, AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION.

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS/BIANCA BESS