15:40 UTC MARCH 29 2026

DISCUSSION:   A WEAK LOW LEVEL TROUGH EXISTS OVER THE LEEWARDS THIS MORNING. THE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED ON 06Z SURFACE ANALYSIS AND IS THE REASON WHY THE WINDFLOW IS LIGHTER. ADDITIONALLY, IS THE MOISTURE THATS NOTED ON MIMIC PRECIPITABLE WATER. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO INGREDIENTS ALONG WITH HIGHER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES HAVE ENCOURAGED THE FORMATION OF LOCALIZE SHOWERS.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARDS AND ALLOW A RIDGE TO BUILD-IN FROM THE WEST. ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE, WILL BE A DRIER NORTHEASTERLY WINDFLOW WHICH WILL INCREASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL CAUSE GENERALLY PLEASANT WEATHER OVER THE LEEWARDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW; BUT FOR TODAY, LOOK FOR LOCALIZE BUILDUPS WITH SPOTTY SHOWERS TO CONTINUE OVER THE LEEWARDS WITH A LOWER CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE BVI.

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH