AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:25 UTC MARCH 24 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILED OVER THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. A WEAK TROUGH REMAINED SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OVER THE AREA. SATELLITE SHOWED LOW LEVEL PATCHES OF CLOUDS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH SLIGHTLY GREATER CLOUD COVER OVER THE B.V.I, HOWEVER RADAR SHOWED LITTLE TO NO ECHOES OVER THE AREA. THE MID-UPPER LEVELS REMAINED HOSTILE FOR ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER FOR THE B.V.I, MODELS SHOW GREATER MOISTURE LEVELS AND MORE SHOWERS POSSIBLE FOR THE PERIOD AS THE TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE AREA. WINDS ALSO SHOW A SLIGHT INCREASE DURING THE PERIOD AND WITH THAT LOW LEVEL PATCHES ON THE WIND FLOW COULD BRING BRIEF LIGHT SHOWERS TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN THE LATE MORNING. MEANWHILE, SEAS REMAIN AT SAFE LEVELS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS