AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:16 UTC MAY 31 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   DRY, STABLE AND DUSTY CONDITIONS CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE AREA THIS MORNING. A THICKER PLUME OF SAHARAN DUST CONTINUES TO STIFLE MOISTURE OVER THE ISLANDS. AIR QUALITY HAS DROPPED TO UNHEALTHY LEVELS AND VISIBILITY HAS BEEN REDUCED. THE PLUME OF DUST WAS CLEARLY SEEN ON GEO-COLOUR SATELLITE WITH A FEW LOW LEVEL PATCHES OVER THE REGION MOVING ON THE RIDGE PATTERN. RADAR ALSO SHOWED NO ECHOES OVER THE FORECAST AREA.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIGNIFICANT DUSTY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SLIGHTLY CLEAR UP AFTER. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED WITH FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS. ADDITIONALLY, WITH THESE WINDS A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION IS LIKELY TO BE IN PLACE FOR THE OPEN WATERS FROM TOMORROW.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS