02:51 UTC JUNE 29 2026

DISCUSSION:   LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING OUT OF THE REGION BROUGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SOME PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SOME FAVORABLE POCKETS OF DIVERGENCE IN THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALLOWED FOR SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BUT THIS OCCURRED MAINLY OVER THE OPEN WATERS. RADAR SHOWED CLUSTERS OF ECHOES WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS MOVING OVER SOME ISLANDS WITH SATELLITE SHOWING POCKETS OF CONVECTIVE BLOW UPS IN SOME SPOTS.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A DECREASE IN MOISTURE AS THE WAVE MOVES FURTHER AWAY. THE UPPER LEVELS WILL BECOME A BIT MORE HOSTILE AND AN INVERSION WILL BUILD OVER THE ISLANDS INTO TOMORROW AFTERNOON SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT. A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN FOR MAINLY THE MORNING, AND BY THE EVENING SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE. ADDITIONALLY ANOTHER SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BY TOMORROW MORNING FOLLOWING THE WAVE. MEANWHILE SEAS REMAIN AT RELATIVELY SAFE LEVELS FOR THE PERIOD.

THIS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS