13:52 UTC AUGUST 09 2026

DISCUSSION:   RECENT ANALYSES ARE NOW SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION IN MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN, AND THIS IS SEEN IN THE REDUCTION OF ECHOES ON THE GUADELOUPE AND PUERTO RICO RADARS. MOST OF THE ECHOES ARE PASSING SOUTH OF THE REGION AS THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS NOW POSITIONED WEST OF THE REGION CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY. THE LASTEST MODEL RUNS ARE PROJECTIN A FURTHER DRYING OUT OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS SAHARAN DUST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL AT 20 PERCENT FOR THE MOST AS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN NORMAL AND SAFE WHERE WAVE HEIGHTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED 1.8 METRES OR 6 FEET.

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON