AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

12:28 UTC NOVEMBER 10 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS CONTINUING TO PRODUCE LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. RECENT ANALYSES ARE ALSO SHOWING AN ATMOSPHERE THAT IS LOW ON MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WHICH IS RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTION ON SHOWER ACTIVITY. BASED ON THE LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERIES RESPECTIVELY, SHOWERS AND DEEP CLOUDS ARE NOT SEEN OVER THE ISLANDS. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE PROJECTING ANOTHER 24 HOURS WHERE DRY AIR AND LOW INSTABILITY WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION. THEREFORE, A RESTRICTION ON SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL BE AT 40 PERCENT OR MODERATE FOR THE MOST. THE SEAS WILL ALSO REMAIN SAFE WITH WAVE HEIGHTS NOT EXCEEDING 1.8 METRES OR 6 FEET.

 

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON