14:24 UTC MARCH 30 2026

DISCUSSION:   MOSTLY STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILED OVER THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. AN EAST-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW BROUGHT SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINED SLIGHTLY WEAK AS A TROUGH LINGERED NORTH EAST OF THE AREA. DRIER CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED OVER THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED SHALLOW PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE ISLANDS.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE AREA, MAY BRING MORE SHOWERS IN THE NIGHT TIME HOURS MAINLY FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. MEANWHILE, SEAS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS BY TOMORROW MORNING AS LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTLINES OF THE ISLANDS. ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS WILL BE NECESSARY.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS