02:55 UTC FEBRUARY 02 2026

DISCUSSION:   A FRONTAL TROUGH MOVED OVER THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS BRINGING RAIN AND OVERCAST CONDITIONS OVER THESE ISLANDS. CONVERSELY, DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILED OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE TROUGH RESTRICTED THE WIND FLOW OVER THE ISLANDS LEAVING WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES. RADAR SHOWED DEVELOPMENT OF SOME LAND BREEZE EFFECTS OVER THE SOUTHERN LEEWARDS BUT THESE WERE SHORT LIVED.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS FURTHER MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT TOWARDS ANGUILLA THEN DISSIPATION THEREAFTER. THEREFORE LAYER TYPE CLOUDS WITH RAIN WOULD REMAIN OVER THE BVI AND ANGUILLA INTO TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE OTHER LEEWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER, IF WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES, THERE IS SOME POSSIBILITY FOR HEATING AND COOLING EFFECTS AND THE DEVELOPMENT FOR SOME BRIEF SHOWERS DURING THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE, SEAS REMAIN HAZARDOUS DUE TO THE LONG PERIOD SWELLS PRODUCED BY THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE RELEVANT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE PERIOD.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS