AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:07 UTC JANUARY 20 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   POCKETS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRAVERSING THE AREA ON A MODERATE TO BRISK WIND FLOW CONTINUED TO PROVIDE CLOUDY SPELLS WITH PERIODS OF BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER AND AROUND THE LEEWARDS AND BVI THIS EVENING. THIS WAS CLEARLY EVIDENT ON RADAR GRAPHICS, HOURLY OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE MIMIC TPW PRODUCT CONTINUES TO SHOW RISING MOISTURE LEVELS IN THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THIS IN MIND, THE LATEST FORECAST MODEL RUNS INDICATE THAT WE CAN EXPECT MORE CLOUDY SPELLS WITH A HEIGHTENED CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER AND AROUND THESE ISLANDS PERIODICALLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES.

 

FORECASTER

BERNELL SIMON