| AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 00:51 UTC MAY 26 2026
DISCUSSION: MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH, ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL POCKETS OF MOISTURE CONTINUOUSLY BEING ENHANCED BY THE FAVOURABLE SIDE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RESULTED IN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS OVER AND AROUND PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARDS AND BVI THIS EVENING. THIS WAS CLEARLY EVIDENT ON RADAR GRAPHICS, SATELLITE IMAGERY AND HOURLY OBSERVATIONS. THE MIMIC TPW PRODUCT HIGHLIGHTS THE ABUNDANCE OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE AREA. THE LATEST FORECAST MODEL RUNS INDICATE THAT WE CAN EXPECT MORE CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH A HEIGHTENED CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER AND AROUND THE ISLANDS PERIODICALLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME SHOWERS COULD BE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES AS THESE UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA.
FORECASTER BERNELL SIMON
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