14:12 UTC AUGUST 07 2026

DISCUSSION:   A RIDGE CONTINUED TO DOMINATE OVER THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. ANOTHER PLUME OF SAHARAN DUST WAS ALSO SEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE AREA. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED LITTLE TO NO ECHOES AND PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING ON THE MODERATE WIND FLOW.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR TODAY INTO TOMORROW MORNING. THEN MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA CAUSING AN INCREASE IN THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS TO A MODERATE CHANCE MAINLY FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, SAHARAN DUST WILL LIMIT THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS. MEANWHILE, SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CHOPPY OVER THE OPEN WATERS AS WINDS INCREASE LATE TOMORROW NIGHT AND A CAUTION OR ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS