AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:17 UTC FEBRUARY 22 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW BROUGHT SHALLOW PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE ISLANDS IN MORNING. THESE PATCHES MOVED ON THE SOUTHERN END OF A BROAD STRONG RIDGE PATTERN. RADAR SHOWED INSTANCES OF LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE AREA, WHILE SATELLITE SHOWED OPEN CELL CLOUDS MOVING INTO THE REGION.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE PERIOD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED WHICH MAY CONTINUE TO TRIGGER A MODERATE CHANCE OF BRIEF SHOWERS. MEANWHILE, SEAS ARE BACK TO RELATIVELY SAFE LEVELS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS