AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

22:55 UTC JANUARY 05 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   SOME MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY LINGERING IN THE VICINITY OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE TAIL-END OF A FRONTAL TROUGH THAT IS DRIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD CONTINUE TO RESULTED IN SOME BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS SOME OF THE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH SOME HEAVY PATCHES OF SHOWERS ARE OCCASIONALLY OBSERVED IN THE VICNITY, ALL CONTINUE TO MISS THE ISLANDS. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE STILL HOLDING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE THE REGION FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, THE CHANCES OF HAVING SOME MORE SHOWERS, ALBEIT BRIEF SHOWERS, WILL REMAIN HIGH. THE ISLANDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE LIGHT WINDS OR EVEN CALM WINDS DUE TO A VERY WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE THE WIND REGIME.

 

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON