02:22 UTC OCTOBER 11 2026

DISCUSSION:   THE PRESENCE OF A TUTT LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN GENERATED QUITE A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, PARTICULARLY THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WHERE IT WAS OVERCAST ALL DAY. RECENT ANALYSES AND OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING THE LOW HAS STARTED TO RETROGRESS AND HENCE LESS CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ARE OBSERVED ON SATELLITE AND RADAR RESPECTIVELY. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE PROJECTING THE CONTINUED RETROGRESSING OF THE OF THE LOW , AND HENCE A REDUCTION IN MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR. PERHAPS SOME LIGHT SHOWERS COULD STILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT DUE TO SOME REMNANT MOISTURE. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN AT MODERATE FOR THE MOST, CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE SEAS WILL REMAIN SAFE AND TRANQUIL FOR MARINE ACTIVITIES. SEAS WILL NOT EXCEED 1.2 METRES OR 4 FEET. SO OVERALL, ALL PARAMETERS CONSIDERED, VERY LITTLE OR NO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON