AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:33 UTC FEBRUARY 24 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   THIS MORNING, A RIDGE PATTERN CONTINUED TO DOMINATE PRODUCING DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE ISLANDS. AN OPEN CELL CLOUD PATTERN WAS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED VERY FEW ECHOES OVER THE AREA WITH A LINE OF ECHOES SEEN OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE CLOUD FORMATION WHICH GRADUALLY DISSIPATED THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. A RIDGE WAS PROMINENT AT THE UPPER LEVELS AND SLIGHT SAHARAN DUST HAZE IMPACTED THE REGION.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA. THE CURRENT CLOUD FORMATION MAY TRIGGER S VERY BRIEF HIT OR MISS SHOWER ON THE WIND FLOW HOWEVER A LOW CHANCE IS STILL EXPECTED DUE TO THE DRY AND SUPPRESSING REGIME. MEANWHILE, SEA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS BY TOMORROW MORNING AS LONG PERIOD SWELLS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE ISLANDS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS