01:03 UTC APRIL 13 2026

DISCUSSION:   LATEST RADAR IMAGERY OVER THE BVI SHOWS SPOTTY SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THESE ISLANDS THIS EVENING DUE TO A WEAK TROUGH. MEANWHILE, APART FROM SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS NORTH OF BARBUDA, NOTHING OF SIGNIFICANCE IS OVER THE REST LEEWARDS THIS EVENING DUE TO A WEAK RIDGE AND MARGINAL MOISTURE LEVELS.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: THE LEEWARDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCE BY A WEAK RIDGE. THE RELATIVELY STABILITY OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE LEEWARDS SHOULD RESULT IN A LOWER CHANCE OF SHOWERS; HOWEVER, WE STILL CANNOT RULE OUT THE ODD LIGHT SHOWER DUE TO THE MODERATE BREEZE. FOR THE BVI, BRIEF SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. BUT LATE TOMORROW, A FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARDS AND RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORM  ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE BY THAT TIME. THIS FORECAST FAVORS A LOWER CHANCE OF SHOWERS THAN WHAT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SUGGESTS IN THE SHORT TERM OVER THE BVI

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH