AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

14:58 UTC MAY 08 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MAINTAINED DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. RADAR SHOWED LITTLE TO NO ECHOES SEEN OVER THE ISLANDS WHILE SATELLITE SHOWED SMALL LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA. MOISTURE LEVELS WERE VERY LOW ACCORDING TO TPW DATA. UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR WAS ALSO SUPPRESSING SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SIMILAR DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL THIS EVENING. HOWEVER AFTER MIDNIGHT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH EAST TO THE AREA MAY INCREASE THE CHANCES OF BRIEF SHOWERS AT A MODERATE CHANCE. MEANWHILE SEA CONDITIONS REMAIN AT SAFE LEVELS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS