AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

00:26 UTC FEBRUARY 22 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS WERE REALIZED OVER THE LEEWARD TODAY; THIS IS AS A RESULT OF A HIGH-PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED LOW MOISTURE LEVELS AS NOTED ON THE 18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS AND MIMIC PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT RESPECTIVELY. THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS EVENING BASED ON EVENING REPORTS. HOWEVER, THE BVI SAW, EARLIER TODAY, SOME BRIEF RAIN SHOWERS DUE TO SHALLOW CLOUDS WITH CLEARER SKIES THIS EVENING.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: A RIDGE WILL DOMINATE; HOWEVER, MODEL SHOW SHALLOW AREAS OF CONVERGENCE IN THE LOW LEVEL WINDFLOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN SHALLOW CLOUDS AND POCKET OF MOISTURE WHICH COULD CAUSE LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS. HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST FOR THE ISLAND TERRITORIES; HENCE, NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME

 

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH