AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

01:51 UTC APRIL 21 2026

 

DISCUSSION: LOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN CONTINUE TO LIMIT SHOWER ACTIVITY.

THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE PROJECTING THE ATLANTIC HIGH WILL DOMINATE ALONG WITH A SUBSIDENCE PATTERN OVER THE AREA. THEREFORE, THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN AT MODERATE OR 40 PERCENT FOR THE MOST AS THE GENERALLY MODERATE WIND-FLOW COULD BRING SOME SHALLOW POCKETS OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION. 

 

FORECASTER

PATRICE EDWARDS