AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

01:03 UTC MAY 20 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVED OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY. THIS, ALONG WITH MOISTURE IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE AND A MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE DROVE A FEW BRIEF SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS AT TIMES.

FOR THE TEXT 24 HOURS: THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARDS AND AWAY FROM THE AREA BY TOMORROW. THE LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ONCE AGAIN WILL BE GOVERNED BY A RIDGE. THIS, ALONG WITH A MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE, WILL GIVE RISE TO BRIEF SHOWERS TONIGHT. TOMORROW, HOWEVER, A REDUCTION IN SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIKELY BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTATION IN THE REDUCTION IN MOISTURE. THIS TREND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST.

 

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH