AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

16:08 UTC NOVEMBER 13 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A LINE ON SHALLOW MOISTURE MOVED OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY BUT ID DID NOT PROVIDE ANY MEANINGFUL RAINFALL BECAUSE OF THE SUPPRESSION DUE TO THE RIDGE.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: MOISTURE LEVESL ARE FORCAST TPO SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE. BOTH THE GFS OPERATIONAL AND ITS ENSEMBLE MEAN ARE IN AGREEMENT WHICH WILL TRANSLATE INTO LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY. BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL OUTPUT, THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST HAS CAPTURED THIS OUTCOME AND AS A RESULT, NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME

 

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH