03:25 UTC SEPTEMBER 13 2026

DISCUSSION: THIS EVENING, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOSTLY SHALLOW CLOUD PATCHES MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, CONSISTENT WITH THE INFLUENCE OF A SURFACE-TO-MID-LEVEL RIDGE AND A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE ATMOSPHERE. WHILE DEEPER MOISTURE AND MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH REMAIN MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA. RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES LITTLE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLANDS, WITH ONLY A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERLY TRADE-WIND FLOW. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS GENERALLY SUPPORT THIS PATTERN, WITH FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS, LITTLE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS. SOME SAHARAN DUST CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HAZY CONDITIONS, PARTICULARLY TOWARD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS, BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE.

BASED ON LATEST MODEL ANALYSIS, TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS THE ISLANDS, MAINTAINING GENERALLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THEREAFTER AS THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER RETREATS. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE. THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. 

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS