AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

01:31 UTC APRIL 07 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A MODERATE TO FRESH AND SOMETIMES GUSTY BREEZE CONTINUE TO BLOW OVER THE ISLANDS THIS EVENING; HOWEVER ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECLINE SOMEWHAT BECAUSE OF THE ADVECTION OF DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION FROM THE EAST AS REVEALED ON THE LATEST MIMIC PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY DOES NOT REVEAL ANY SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS HOWEVER, LIGHT SHOWERS WERE REPORTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS IN ACCORDANCE WITH EVENING REPORTS.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: MODELS SUGGEST A GRADUAL REDUCTION IN THE WINDS; AT THE SAME TIME, A REDUCTION IN MOISTURE IS ALSO FORECAST. THIS TRANSLATES INTO A LOWER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE LEEWARDS AS SUGGESTED BY THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST. BY TOMORROW NIGHT, ANOTHER SURGE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED OVER THE LEEWARDS AND THIS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY THAT TIME. MEANWHILE THE BVI WILL STILL CONTINUE TO SEE A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS BECAUSE OF THE AVAILABILITY OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THAT ISLAND.

 

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH