01:37 UTC OCTOBER 17 2026

 
DISCUSSION: GENERALLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY AS SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND RELATIVELY DRY MID-LEVEL AIR RESTRICTED SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. NEVERTHELESS, SHALLOW MOISTURE AND WEAK CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE PREVAILING EASTERLY FLOW SUPPORTED OCCASIONAL CLOUD PATCHES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS. DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCALIZED EFFECTS ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO SOME AFTERNOON CLOUD DEVELOPMENT. WINDS WERE GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM THE EAST, WHILE SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WAS LIMITED.

BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL ANALYSIS, THE RIDGE PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS THE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, MAINTAINING GENERALLY SETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, OCCASIONAL BANDS OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND CONVERGENCE WILL GENERATE BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS, PARTICULARLY OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. DESPITE THIS, SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY.

THIS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST, NO AMENDMENT IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 
FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS