AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

02:43 UTC MAY 01 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A RELATIVELY STABLE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES OVER THE LEEWARDS THIS EVENING DUE TO LOW MOISTURE LEVELS. THIS IS EVIDENT FROM REPORTS FROM THE ISLANDS. DESPITE THE PLUME OF MID TO UPPER MOISTURE, RELATIVELY STABLE CONDITIONS ALSO EXISTS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OVER THE BVI WHICH IS LIMITING RAINFALL ACTIVITY OVER THESE ISLANDS.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS FORECAST. HOWEVER, MODELS SUGGEST THAT WE COULD SEE A FEW PULSES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE LOW LEVEL WINDFLOW WHICH COULD YIELD A LIGHT PASSING SHOWER OVER THE ISLANDS  WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST FORECAST.

 

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH