AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:26 UTC JUNE 07 2026

 

DISCUSSION: THIS MORNING A SURFACE TO LOW-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINED THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, SUPPORTING GENERALLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HAZY CONDITIONS. WHILE THE NEAR-BY TROPICAL WAVE PRODUCED UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO, ITS INFLUENCE REMAINED LIMITED FARTHER NORTH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED PATCHES OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUD MOVING THROUGH THE AREA, WHILE SAHARAN DUST CONTINUED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN, RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITY AND NOTICEABLE HAZE. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED ONLY ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING WITHIN THE TRADE WIND FLOW, WITH LITTLE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OBSERVED ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DOMINANT ACROSS THE AREA, MAINTAINING A DRY AND STABLE ATMOSPHERE. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW RELATIVELY DRY AIR THROUGH MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE LEVELS, LIMITING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. CONSEQUENTLY, CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND HAZY, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS. SAHARAN DUST CONCENTRATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, WHICH MAY LEAD TO REDUCED AIR QUALITY. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY AT MODERATE SPEEDS, WHILE SEAS REMAIN SLIGHT TO MODERATE. BY LATE MONDAY, A WEAK LOW- TO MID-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS MAY PRODUCE A FEW ISOLATED BRIEF SHOWERS, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED.

THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS