14:50 UTC JANUARY 17 2026

DISCUSSION:   THIS MORNING, A WEAK TROUGH MOVED OVER THE ISLANDS BRINGING BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED SPOTTY ECHOES OVER THE AREA WHILE SATELLITE SHOWED A LINE OF CLOUDS MOVING WEST AWAY FROM THE ISLAND CHAIN. A RIDGE PATTERN WAS OBSERVED TO BUILD BACK AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH AND THIS PRODUCED A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT A DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND REDUCE THIS AFTERNOON SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER ISLANDS. HOWEVER THE ELEVATED WINDS COULD GENERATE BRIEF SHOWERS FOR THE PERIOD STILL AT A MODERATE CHANCE. MEANWHILE, SEA CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE HAZARDOUS TODAY AS LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL AFFECT COASTLINES BY TONIGHT, ADDITIONALLY, ELEVATED WINDS WILL KEEP THE OPEN WATERS CHOPPY.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS