00:16 UTC OCTOBER 07 2026

 
DISCUSSION: SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING SHOWS EXTENSIVE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, ASSOCIATED WITH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TRAILING THE TROPICAL WAVE. RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES AREAS OF SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARDS AND VIRGIN ISLANDS. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE BEHIND THE WAVE, COMBINED WITH LINGERING MOISTURE, WILL MAINTAIN PARTLY CLOUDY TO OCCASIONALLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS TONIGHT, WITH SCATTERED. SOME SHOWERS COULD BECOME LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY.

BASED ON LATEST MODEL ANALYSIS, THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD TOWARD PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY; HOWEVER, TRAILING MOISTURE AND CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. CONSEQUENTLY, PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST, ALTHOUGH ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT AS WEDNESDAY PROGRESSES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST, WHILE SEAS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY UP TO 1.5 METRES OR 5 FEET.

THIS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST FORECAST THEREFORE NO AMENDMENTS ARE NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.

 
FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS