14:45 UTC AUGUST 12 2026

DISCUSSION:   LINGERING INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A RETREATING TROPICAL WAVE GENERATED PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS WITH THE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. OBSERVATIONS INDICATED SHOWERS OVER SOME OF THE ISLANDS WHILE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR ECHOES HIGHLIGHTED PATCHES OF CLOUDINESS AND CORRESPONDING SHOWER ACTIVITY. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWED A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE OPEN WATERS WEST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE, CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TEMPORARILY AS A RIDGE AND REDUCTION IN MOISTURE RESTRICTS SHOWER ACTIVITY. HOWEVER, LOW LEVEL POCKETS OF MOISTURE ON THE WIND FLOW, MAY GENERATE PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT TWENTY-FOUR HOURS. HAZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO COMTINUE AS SAHARAN DUST CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA.

FORECASTER

TRECY SPENCER-LAKE