01:10 UTC AUGUST 25 2026

DISCUSSION: RELATIVELY STABLE CONDITIONS WERE MAINTAINED OVER THE LEEWARDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING. A FEW LOW LEVEL PATCHES OF CLOUDS WERE OBSERVED OVER THE ISLANDS AND RADAR ECHOES INDICATED THAT MOST OF THESE PATCHES OF CLOUDINESS OR PRECIPITATION REMAINED OVER OPEN WATERS.

BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE, THESE RELATIVELY STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE BY OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA; HOWEVER, SURFACE MOSITURE LEVEL IS LIMITED; THUS, A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS OF PASSING SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. DAYTIME HEATING COULD INDUCE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TOMORROW. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST, THEREFORE NO AMENDMENT IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. 

FORECASTER

PATRICE EDWARDS/ BIANCA BESS