15:45 UTC APRIL 16 2026

DISCUSSION:   AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA ALONG WITH AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMBINED TO PRODUCE SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARDS AND NIGHT. CURRENTLY MIMIC REVELS THAT THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE PLUME HAS SHIFTED WESTWARDS AND THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE GRADUAL REDUCTION IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. AT THIS TIME, SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS STILL LINGERS AS NOTED ON LATEST RADAR IMAGERY.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: THE MID TO UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD AND WEAKEN. AT THE SAME TIME, THE RIDGE AT THE LOWER LEVELS, ALONG WITH A GRADUAL REDUCTION IN MOISTURE, SHOULD CAUSE A TREND TO GREATER STABILITY. BUT GIVEN THE MODERATE BREEZE IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE THAT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE, ALONG WITH THE LINGERING MOISTURE, A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARDS AND BVI SHOULD CONTINUE WHICH SUPPORTS THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST.

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH