| AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 15:26 UTC JUNE 07 2026
DISCUSSION: THIS
MORNING A SURFACE TO LOW-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINED THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS,
SUPPORTING GENERALLY FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HAZY CONDITIONS.
WHILE THE NEAR-BY TROPICAL WAVE PRODUCED UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO, ITS INFLUENCE
REMAINED LIMITED FARTHER NORTH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED PATCHES OF
LOW-LEVEL CLOUD MOVING THROUGH THE AREA, WHILE SAHARAN DUST CONTINUED
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN, RESULTING IN REDUCED
VISIBILITY AND NOTICEABLE HAZE. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED ONLY ISOLATED
LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING WITHIN THE TRADE WIND FLOW, WITH LITTLE
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OBSERVED ACROSS THE ISLANDS. DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DOMINANT ACROSS THE
AREA, MAINTAINING A DRY AND STABLE ATMOSPHERE. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES
TO SHOW RELATIVELY DRY AIR THROUGH MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE LEVELS,
LIMITING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.
CONSEQUENTLY, CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY FAIR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY AND HAZY, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS.
SAHARAN DUST CONCENTRATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY, WHICH MAY LEAD TO REDUCED AIR QUALITY. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY AT MODERATE SPEEDS, WHILE SEAS REMAIN
SLIGHT TO MODERATE. BY LATE MONDAY, A WEAK LOW- TO MID-LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHING THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS MAY PRODUCE A FEW ISOLATED BRIEF
SHOWERS, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED. THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO CHANGE IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.
FORECASTER JALEEL JACOBS
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