AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:53 UTC APRIL 01 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   SHALLOW CLOUDS AND SPOTTY SHOWERS WERE NOTED ON EVENINGS SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY. THESE CONTINUE BECAUSE OF A MODERATE BREEZE AND MOISTURE FLUX SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SHALLOW CLOUDS FOR THE ENXT 24 HOURS: LATEST MODEL RUN DOES NOT SHOW SIGNIFICANT CHANGE THIS EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCORDING THE GFS MODEL. IT IS NOTEWORTHY TO MENTION THAT THE ECMWF SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE TO LOW LEVEL TROUGH WHICH COULD MOVE OVER THE LEEWARD LATE TOMORROW AND FORCE A REDUCTION IN WINDS. A BLEND BETWEEN THESE TWO MODEKS STILL SUGGEST A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH SLIGHT REDUCTION OF WINDS WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUEDFORECAST. MEANWHILE, ELEVATED SEAS WILL STILL CUASE UNSAFE MARINE CONDITIONS MAINLY TO BEACHGOERS MAINLY ALONG THE NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS.

 

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH