| AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 15:25 UTC MARCH 24 2026
DISCUSSION: DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILED OVER THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. A WEAK TROUGH REMAINED SOMEWHAT STATIONARY OVER THE AREA. SATELLITE SHOWED LOW LEVEL PATCHES OF CLOUDS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH SLIGHTLY GREATER CLOUD COVER OVER THE B.V.I, HOWEVER RADAR SHOWED LITTLE TO NO ECHOES OVER THE AREA. THE MID-UPPER LEVELS REMAINED HOSTILE FOR ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER FOR THE B.V.I, MODELS SHOW
GREATER MOISTURE LEVELS AND MORE SHOWERS POSSIBLE FOR THE PERIOD AS THE
TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE AREA. WINDS ALSO SHOW A SLIGHT INCREASE DURING
THE PERIOD AND WITH THAT LOW LEVEL PATCHES ON THE WIND FLOW COULD BRING
BRIEF LIGHT SHOWERS TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN THE LATE MORNING.
MEANWHILE, SEAS REMAIN AT SAFE LEVELS. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.
FORECASTER LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS
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