AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

02:18 UTC MARCH 28 2026

 

DISCUSSION: SETTLED CONDITIONS PERSISTED ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS WAS SUPPORTED BY LIMITED MOISTURE EVIDENT ON THE MIMIC TPW PRODUCT, WHICH ALIGNED WELL WITH OBSERVATIONAL DATA SHOWING LITTLE TO NO ECHOES ON RADAR IMAGERY AND MINIMAL CLOUD COVER ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE PREVAILING RIDGE PATTERN MAINTAINED A RELATIVELY STABLE AND DRY AIRMASS, SUPPRESSING SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND PROMOTING MOSTLY FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.

OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE, MAINTAINING GENERALLY STABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, SHALLOW PATCHES OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MODERATE WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE THE REGION AND GENERATE BRIEF, LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS. 

 

FORECASTER

PATRICE EDWARDS