AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

02:07 UTC MAY 04 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   THIS EVENING, A RIDGE REMAINED AS THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE OVER THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS BRINGING DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. ECHOES WERE SEEN APPROACHING THE ISLANDS ON RADAR IMAGERY TOWARDS THE END OF THE NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SLIGHT CONFLUENING AND CONVERGENCE APPROACHING THE ISLANDS ON THE WIND FLOW.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE COULD SLIGHTLY INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW, HOWEVER, THESE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY BRIEF AND LIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS HOSTILE FOR ANY DEVELOPMENT. A MODERATE CHANE IS EXPECTED FOR THE MORNING THEN IT WILL GO TO A LOW CHANCE BY AFTERNOON WITH MAINLY FAIR CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE SEAS REMAIN AT SAFE LEVELS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS