AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

01:55 UTC SEPTEMBER 19 2026

 
DISCUSSION: THIS EVENING, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED MAINLY SCATTERED SHALLOW CLOUD PATCHES MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS WITHIN A RELATIVELY DRY AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL TROUGH. RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED JUST A FEW SPARSE ECHOES ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS. THE WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS RESULTED IN GENERALLY LIGHTER WINDS.

BASED ON LATEST FORECAST MODELS, THE WEAK TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY WHILE GRADUALLY LOSING DEFINITION. GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS A RESULT, WITH FAIR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ONLY A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS AS PATCHES OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE MOVE THROUGH. BY TOMORROW, THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD INCREASINGLY INFLUENCE THE AREA; HOWEVER, LIGHTER WINDS AND LOCALIZED CONVERGENCE MAY ALLOW FOR SOME TEMPORARY CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. OVERALL, NO SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. EXCELLENT MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.

THIS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST; NO AMENDMENT IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. 

 
FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS