AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

14:36 UTC JULY 22 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH IS PRESENT NORTHWEST OF THE AREA BROUGHT QUICK PASSING SHOWERS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. SPOTTY ECHOES WERE SEEN ON RADAR AND DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA AS THE PERIOD WENT ON. ADDITIONALLY, HAZE CLEARED FROM THE AREA BRINGING AIR QUALITY TO GOOD LEVELS.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT AS THE TROUGH MOVES WEST, SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE INTO THIS AFTERNOON. MORE SAHARAN DUST ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE WILL REDUCE AIR QUALITY OVER THE ISLANDS BY TOMORROW AND NO STRONG CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. THEREFORE, A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE MAINTAINED GOING INTO TOMORROW. MEANWHILE SEAS REMAIN AT SAFE LEVELS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS