03:30 UTC AUGUST 01 2026

DISCUSSION:   A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINED GENERALLY SETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING. WINDS REMAINED MODERATE OVER SOME ISLANDS WITH RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING FEW SMALL ECHOES AND LITTLE LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE AREA, RESPECTIVELY. OF NOTE, AN AREA OF NOTABLE CONVECTION, IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MID-TO-LOW-LEVEL TROUGH, IS SEEN JUST EAST OF THE ISLANDS.

LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THE APPROACHING MID-TO-LOW-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE ENHANCED BY A FAVOURABLY POSITIONED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TOMORROW MORNING. SOME SHOWERS MAY BE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES, WITH FORECASTED RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 38MM OR 1.5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING IN FLOOD-PRONE, LOW-LYING AND POOR-DRAINAGE AREAS, AS WELL AS PONDING ON ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

FOR THE SEAS, A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL THEREAFTER BE REPLACED BY A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST AND AS SUCH, NO CHANGES ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

PATRICE EDWARDS/BIANCA BESS