AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:55 UTC NOVEMBER 14 2025

 

DISCUSSION:   HIGH PRESSURE WAS THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND GENERALLY SETTLED WEATHER WAS OBSERVED VIA RADAR, SATELLITE AND IN SITU OBSERVATIONS. THE ECHOES WERE SMALL IN SIZE AND WIDELY SCATTERED WITH LOW DBZ VALUES. NOTWITHSTANDING, A RELATIVELY WARMER INFLOW OF AIR FROM THE EAST TO EAST-SOUTHEAST, THE WINDS PRESENTLY ARE WITHIN THE GENTLE TO MODERATE RANGE THEREFORE MUCH DAYTIME HEATING ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED.

AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEST OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO SLACKEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LIGHTER AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME OVERNIGHT RADIATIONAL COOLING LEADING TO A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

MEANWHILE, SEAS ARE DECREASING AND THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS EXPECTED TO BE DISCONTINUED FROM THIS AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST FOR SHOWERS THIS MORNING WAS A BIT ON THE HIGHER SIDE GIVEN THE OUTCOME, HOWEVER, AN AMENDMENT IS NOT NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS