AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:45 UTC MAY 28 2017

 

DISCUSSION  ..SATELLITE AND RADAR THIS EVENING SHOWED SOME CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND AN EXITING TROPICAL WAVE. SHOWERS MAINLY WERE LIGHT IN NATURE. MEANWHILE MIMIC IS SHOWING AN INCREASE OF MOISTURE. THIS, GIVEN THE UNSTABLE NATURE OF THE ATMOSPHERE, WILL HEIGHTEN THE CHANCES FOR CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE, NOW ALONG 53W IS DUE INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL AGAIN GENERATE MORE CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FOR THE ISLANDS. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST.

 

FORECASTER

ORVIN PAIGE